PERAMALAN TINGKAT PRODUKSI TANAMAN PANGAN DAN TANAMAN PERKEBUNAN RAKYAT KABUPATEN BULUKUMBA MENGGUNAKAN METODE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING

Authors

  • Adnan Sauddin Universitas Islam Negeri Alauddin Makassar http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5006-3366
  • Try Azisah Nurman Univesitas Islam Negeri Alauddin
  • Risa Wahyuni Universitas Islam Negeri Alauddin Makassar

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.24252/msa.v6i2.7197

Abstract

In This article discusses about forcasting of agricultural production using expontential smoothing in time series analysis. In the sector of agriculture there are some kinds of food plantation and society plantation. Exponential smoothing is one of the method which can  be used to predict the number of production which will come, the kinds of double exponential smoothing with alpha=1 and bheta=0.036 can be applied t the production data of the society agriculture and single exponential smoothing with alpha = 0.75 can be applied is society platation.  The aim of the research  is to know the production of the food plantation in 2020 and the the production of society plantation 2018 in Bulukumba regency. As a result of this research, it could be seen that the production of food plantation in 2020 the amount of 518.087,09 ton, and the production of plantation in 2018 in the amount of 43.814,05 ton

Author Biographies

Adnan Sauddin, Universitas Islam Negeri Alauddin Makassar

Program Studi Matematika

Try Azisah Nurman, Univesitas Islam Negeri Alauddin

Program Studi Matematika

Risa Wahyuni, Universitas Islam Negeri Alauddin Makassar

Mahasiswa Program Studi Matematika

References

[1] BPS Kabupaten Bulukumba. 2018. Bulukumba Dalam Angka. Bulukumba: Badan Pusat Statistik.

[2] Andi, Arif Ramadhan. 2016. Pengertian dan jenis-Jenis Tanaman Pangan dan Holtikultura. Jakarta: Kompas.

[3] Hasan, Firdaus. 2009. Petunjuk Teknis Pengelolaan Tanaman Terpadu (PTT). Makassar:CV Inti Mediatama.
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[5] R. SPIEGELMurray dan Larry J. Stephens. Statistik Edisi Ketiga. Jakarta: Erlangga
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[6] K.PalitAjoy dan Dobrivoje Popovic. 2005. Computational Intelegence in Time Series Forecasting. Jerman: Springer.

[7] Subagyo Pangestu,2005. Statistika Induktif.Yogyakarta:BPFE.

[8] Arif TiroMuhammad dan Baharuddin Ilyas.2002. Statistika Terapan untuk Ilmu Ekonomi dan Sosial Edisi Kedua.Makassar:Andhira Publisher.

[9] Sunyanto, Danang . Analisis Regresi dan Uji Hipotesis.Yogyakarta:Medpress

[10] Makridakis.1999. Forecasting Method and Aplication. Jakarta :Binarupa Aksara.

[11] BowermanBruce L., dkk. 2007. Business Statistic in Practice.Jerman.:McGraw-Hill

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Published

2019-05-23

How to Cite

[1]
A. Sauddin, T. A. Nurman, and R. Wahyuni, “PERAMALAN TINGKAT PRODUKSI TANAMAN PANGAN DAN TANAMAN PERKEBUNAN RAKYAT KABUPATEN BULUKUMBA MENGGUNAKAN METODE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING”, MSA, vol. 6, no. 2, pp. 51–60, May 2019.

Issue

Vol. 6 No. 2 (2018)

Section

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