Application of Epidemiological Models in Determining Insurance Premiums for Emerging Infectious Diseases
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.24252/msa.v9i2.24898Keywords:
SIR Epidemiological model, infectious disease, infection, emerging, premium rate, disease modelingAbstract
Various cases of emerging infectious diseases have caused enormous losses, not only in terms of economic losses but also in terms of a significant number of casualties. The increasing number of deaths due to new diseases has prompted experts to find ways to prevent and treat them. This certainly has an impact on the health insurance sector, which will inevitably be affected by an increase in health care claims and even deaths. Therefore, it is very important to consider various aspects in calculating reasonable premiums for health insurance. In this study, premiums are determined based on the SIR compartment model with the main formula for determining the transmission rate (rate of infection) by assuming a constant mortality and recovery rate. Based on data on new cases of Covid-19 in Indonesia in the second quarter of 2020, it was found that premiums increased in line with the increase in the number of death benefits and patient care costs offered by emerging infection insurance products.
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