Proyeksi Produksi Padi Kabupaten Pinrang Dengan Metode Singular Spectrum Analysis

Authors

  • Irwan Jurusan Matematika FST-UIN Alaudin
  • Adnan Sauddin Universitas Islam Negeri Alauddin Makassar
  • Anita Kaimuddin Universitas Islam Negeri Alauddin Makassar

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.24252/msa.v10i1.29869

Keywords:

Singular Spectrum Analysis, forecasting, Windows Length, MAPE.

Abstract

The increasing population growth in Pinrang Regency every year had an impact on increasing the need for food, especially rice production which was generally a staple food source in Pinrang Regency. so it was necessary to do a forecast to anticipate future food shortages. This study aimed to determine the yield of rice production in Pinrang Regency in 2021 and the level of accuracy of the method used. The results of the study obtained forecast for rice production in Pinrang Regency in 2021 using the Singular Spectrum Analysis (SSA) method, respectively from the first quarter to the third quarter of 33603 tons, 25988 tons, and 43234 tons with the level of forecasting accuracy based on standard MAPE value obtained by 4.97 %. The MAPE value obtained was less than 10 % and close to 0 %, meaning that the SSA method with windows length 9 and 7 groups were very accurate to be used to predict rice production in Pinrang Regency.

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Published

2022-07-04

How to Cite

[1]
Irwan, Adnan Sauddin, and Anita Kaimuddin, “Proyeksi Produksi Padi Kabupaten Pinrang Dengan Metode Singular Spectrum Analysis ”, MSA, vol. 10, no. 1, pp. 100–109, Jul. 2022.

Issue

Vol. 10 No. 1 (2022): VOLUME 10 NOMOR 1 TAHUN 2022

Section

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